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Caregiver supply vs. senior demand by metro
BLS OEWS publishes employment counts for home health and personal care aides (SOC 31-1120) at the metro level. Compared here to the sum of county-level seniors 65+ in each metro from Census ACS — a rough supply-vs-demand context ratio, not a headcount of every Bay Area caregiver.
| Metro | Seniors 65+ (county sum) | BLS aide employment | Aides per 1,000 seniors | BLS mean wage | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA | 979,456 | 119,120 | 121.6 | $18.66/hr | BLS OEWS + Census |
| San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA | 273,921 | 49,610 | 181.1 | $18.92/hr | BLS OEWS + Census |
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Derived ratios combine independently sourced Census senior counts and CMS Medicare-certified agency counts (practice-address ZIP in each county — a geographic lower bound, not total agencies serving that county), plus BLS OEWS employment estimates at the metro level. They indicate relative context, not a forecast of agency profitability or staffing adequacy.
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